Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.011657 0.014181 0.017373 0.021810 0.027997 0.036615 0.050118
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.008126 0.010688 0.014332 0.020180 0.029962 0.047131 0.084028
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.006446 0.008882 0.012607 0.019174 0.031675 0.058002 0.133763
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.005531 0.007906 0.011753 0.019093 0.034777 0.074262 0.233213
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004977 0.007346 0.011390 0.019696 0.039594 0.100410 0.482226
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004482 0.006781 0.010868 0.019775 0.043291 0.129426 1.048262
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003984 0.006126 0.010038 0.018921 0.044060 0.150007 2.081210
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003628 0.005668 0.009497 0.018558 0.046144 0.182424 5.961517
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003454 0.005513 0.009517 0.019546 0.053449 0.269017 183.751349
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003353 0.005474 0.009764 0.021213 0.065042 0.459504 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003254 0.005425 0.009978 0.022896 0.079056 0.856825 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003064 0.005170 0.009684 0.022974 0.085646 1.295514 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002833 0.004837 0.009218 0.022589 0.091028 2.059857 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002557 0.004384 0.008411 0.020873 0.086789 2.365118 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002348 0.004050 0.007844 0.019820 0.086222 3.171344 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002211 0.003852 0.007578 0.019735 0.092907 6.505636 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002120 0.003742 0.007513 0.020366 0.107062 29.580540 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002016 0.003592 0.007320 0.020449 0.117321 309.698402 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001885 0.003371 0.006912 0.019554 0.116478 3764.150580 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001785 0.003212 0.006648 0.019175 0.121249 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001742 0.003175 0.006709 0.020209 0.146992 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001722 0.003187 0.006904 0.021957 0.193334 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001698 0.003189 0.007075 0.023724 0.256580 NaN NaN